There is a misconception that seems to be running rampant in the
golf industry that a ‘push-button’ open-to-buy plan is the be-all, end-all to
insuring success at Pro Shop retail. While it would be nice if this were true
it simply is not. Before buying the software or placing your financial future
in the numbers this type of reporting provides, let’s tear the concept down a
bit attempting to understand both its limitations and plusses.
Saratoga National GC |
THE OPEN TO BUY FORMULA:
Planned sales + Planned Markdowns + Planned End of Month Inventory – Planned Beginning of Month Inventory = Open to Buy at Retail
Planned sales + Planned Markdowns + Planned End of Month Inventory – Planned Beginning of Month Inventory = Open to Buy at Retail
Prudent inventory control is obviously critical to ensuring that
there is adequate stock on hand to produce the amount of sales that hopefully
can be generated. The above formula can be used as a guideline as to how to
replenish that number of units and/or dollars but does not pretend to establish
what those levels should be.
Being over-inventoried in total units or dollars or owning the
wrong type of inventory will determine markdowns and limit cash flow but is
only realized by comparing it to what is healthy and then buying or not
according to the formula, or more to the point common sense.
Being under bought will create missed sales opportunities but can only be properly avoided if the Planned part of the above formula is based on solid principles and an analysis and understanding of the shop’s sale history, space and fixturing.
Being under bought will create missed sales opportunities but can only be properly avoided if the Planned part of the above formula is based on solid principles and an analysis and understanding of the shop’s sale history, space and fixturing.
My point is that most shops would certainly be better run using an
OTB formula and plan as a guideline as to the coming month’s inventory needs
but only once the proper Opening Inventory Level (OIL) is determined, realized
and adjusted according to peaks and valleys during the course of the season.
The magic push-button formula is the simplest of math that is probably best
calculated by hand and then adjusted according to tournament schedules, special
orders, off-price opportunities, fast-selling items, mark up variations and
count-and-fill categories. Also most pro shops think through they’re buying as
a seasonal activity based on number of turns as opposed to a monthly decision
based on what usually manifests itself as partial needs.
Another concept that is tossed around in the industry but rarely understood and properly utilized is that of count-and-fill. The phrase immediately brings to mind the maintenance of the proverbial solid shirt program but redefining and instituting its new meaning across all pertinent categories can lower inventories and insure against loss of sales more effectively than open-to-buy reports.
There are many important categories where par levels can be set
conservatively and count and filled often so as to reduce needless inventory
but have full size runs of adequate selection when needed. Gloves, balls,
shoes, socks, peds, rainwear, basic shorts and of course solid shirts are just
a few of these categories with solid shirts worthy of an updated look.
A typical solid shirt program five years ago was three shelves in
a wall unit with 8-9 skus or colors of a Fairway and Greene lisle or perhaps a
Polo pique folded in stacks of six shirts each with one medium, two large, two
x-large and one xx-large. The par level included back up if the business
demanded. Par levels are best determined using the two-week rule. Keep on hand
all sizes per sku in the number of pieces per size that may be sold in a two
week period. Most shirt companies that have sold you on the idea of using their
in-stock capabilities will fill in between 7-10 working days, which makes two
weeks worth of inventory a good working plan. Someone of course needs to take
ownership of the program, understand its significance and call the partner
vendor with a fill-in once a week.
Five years later a few things have changed. Solid shirts are still
of major importance and now include performance or polyester shirts as a
category which are best displayed hung on a four way or perhaps shoulder-out by
color on a bar in a wall. There are also actually fewer vendors willing to make
the financial commitment to in-stock inventories of basic product.
Mendham Golf and Tennis Club |
Many facilities are using the solid shirt category as the key
ingredient in an effort to build their own brand with private labeling and add
significant margin to these sales. Full-Turn has developed an in-stock program
of mercerized Supima cotton that includes basic feed stripes as well as solid
shirts and has done away with any complicated rules about fill-ins. You can
call in whatever you need, have it embroidered and shipped ASAP and be proud
that your highest margin shirt in the shop is not being offered down the street
since it is your label and it is made of the finest cotton on the planet.
Selling a rain-suit and immediately calling in an order for its
replacement should be SOP. I go to clubs that own size-runs of 6 to 8 different
gloves. I’ve never heard an argument for more than two that made any sense to
me. Owning 40 pair of shorts at the end of June but being out of 36 and 38 is
the same as being out of business – the open-to-buy report however may not
provide for this fill-in.
Count-and-fill categories properly merchandised and maintaining
all other areas of the shop as they need to be re-merchandised and reloaded is
a function of open-to-buy that is not explained by the formula or its reports.
All aspects of retail are relative to the shop, its space and personnel but I
would not invest in OTB software unless my shop was grossing at least 1.5
million/year. I would however make every effort to understand the concept as
the valuable guideline and tool that it is.
The principals involved in determining the Opening Inventory Level
(OIL) mentioned above and the importance of creating par levels for the proper
categories of goods so as to establish the correct planned inventories are
developed in the “Merchandise Buy plan Guide”. The importance of basing these
planned numbers on the principle of space and an understanding of a healthy
turn is the reason I wrote this guide.
What is your solution for the phenomenon of showrooming? Do you have experience with beacons and wearables?
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